The New York City Recovery Index
New York Metropolis’s financial restoration stalled through the week ended October 1, as the general index rating remained unchanged at 76 out of 100. In a serious reversal from latest weeks, the COVID-19 hospitalization charge rose by double digits, with hospitalizations as soon as once more on the uptrend. House gross sales and rental vacancies fell, whereas subway ridership posted a steep correction. On a constructive observe, unemployment claims continued to say no this week, whereas restaurant reservations ticked up barely.
New York Metropolis’s financial restoration stands at a rating of 76 out of 100, based on the New York Metropolis Restoration Index, a joint mission between Investopedia and NY1. Over two years into the pandemic, New York Metropolis’s financial restoration is simply over three-quarters of the best way again to pre-pandemic ranges.
COVID-19 Hospitalizations Reverse Greater
New York Metropolis witnessed a steep improve in its COVID-19 hospitalization charge this week, recording a median of 87 each day hospitalizations, 14 larger than the earlier week’s common. After two months of progress, town’s hospitalization charge is as soon as once more trending larger, rising again to ranges final seen in early September.
The CDC continues to mission that nearly all present instances are omicron-related, with the dominant BA.5 pressure contributing to only underneath three-quarters, or 74.9%, of latest infections. The BA.4.6 subvariant lately accounted for 15.7% of infections, whereas the recently-formed BF.7 pressure continued to account for a rising share of infections, at 5.7% of the full.
As of October 10, 79.7% of New York Metropolis’s inhabitants, or simply underneath four-fifths of all residents had been totally vaccinated towards COVID-19, based on NYC Well being & Hospitals information. For the reason that begin of the pandemic, practically 2.9 million instances and 42,071 deaths have been recorded within the metropolis.
Unemployment Claims Proceed to Fall
The variety of unemployment insurance coverage (UI) claims filed all through town fell for the second consecutive week. Whole claims numbered 5,200, which is 460 fewer than the earlier week’s whole of 5,660. The pre-pandemic rolling common, which tracks the identical week of 2019, posted a smaller decline of 134 claims, totaling 5,083. As such, the present variety of claims is simply over 2% above its pre-pandemic common for this time of 12 months, with the UI claims subindex inching nearer towards a full restoration.
House Gross sales Decline
Pending dwelling gross sales in New York Metropolis fell for the week ended October 1, declining by 57 properties from 446 to 389 properties offered. In the meantime, the pre-pandemic rolling common rose by 9 properties, reaching 361 gross sales throughout the identical week of 2019. As such, dwelling gross sales at the moment are solely 7% above their pre-pandemic rolling common—down from 26% above final week—however stay totally recovered. This week, dwelling gross sales in Queens had been 27.5% above their pre-pandemic common for this time of 12 months—the strongest outperformance among the many main boroughs. Manhattan and Brooklyn adopted with respective positive aspects of 9.9% and three.5%.
Rental Availability Declines
New York Metropolis’s rental market skilled a damaging week, with whole vacancies declining by 429 and totaling 15,696. The rental stock subindex recorded a rating of 86.6 out of 100, down from 88 final week. Adjusting for seasonal variation, this week’s decline was higher than anticipated for early fall.
Rental vacancies in Brooklyn posted the steepest decline among the many main boroughs, falling practically 5.4% in comparison with per week earlier. Declines in Manhattan and Queens had been a lot much less pronounced, with vacancies falling by 1.2% and 0.35%, respectively. Citywide, rental vacancies declined a median 2.7% from per week earlier.
Subway Ridership Suffers a Main Setback
Subway ridership skilled a steep correction for the week ended October 1, with ridership ranges falling to 38% beneath their pre-pandemic rolling common, down from 35% beneath within the earlier week. This week’s decline confirms a stagnant development for subway ridership, and will have dashed hopes for a sustained, substantial restoration through the fall. For the week, the MTA reported a seven-day common of two.96 million each day riderships.
Restaurant Reservations Tick Greater
Citywide restaurant reservations rose barely for the week ended October 1. The seven-day rolling common of reservations measured 35.1% beneath its pre-pandemic common, up from a 35.6% loss for the earlier week. This week’s improve marks a really slight enchancment within the outlook for the restaurant trade, however doesn’t counsel any main positive aspects within the weeks forward.